October
MayFirst More Joyous, now ...
Black Caviar is set for European defeat!
The English largely view Australians as convict upstarts and European riders do ride to beat "outsiders", like the Japanese champion Deep Impact in the Arc.
Moreover, if Luke Nolen, (0.5kg inferior rider on my objective jockey ratings to Linda Meech — big mystery why she’s not getting equivalent opportunities) rides BC like he rode Privately on April 4, BC will certainly get beaten.
If Linda Meech, unbeaten on Privately, rides him that day, he wins.
Black Caviar’s ability towers over her European sprint rivals (and the Euro-biased ratings of Frankel) but she hasn’t grown wings to fly out of a bad position, like Nolen put Privately in.
BC’s ability is such that if anywhere near right (and given clear running) she’ll kill them — no contest. Nolen is another matter. God only knows how he’ll cope with 16 nasty, bitter little European jockeys all riding not to win but to beat the upstarts.
English people will extend all sorts of hospitality, and team BC may think they’re all such nice chaps. They’re not. They will ride exclusively to beat her, like many before, and laugh hysterically for a decade if they can.
Carina (Qld)